Saturday, 20 July, 2019


Tropical system expected to slowly develop midweek in northern Gulf of Mexico

TS Cosme. PC NOAA TS Cosme. PC NOAA
Kristine Garrett | 10 July, 2019, 04:59

We could pick up rain chances by late Friday and Saturday as a tropical system moves toward eastern Texas. That low should end up over the warm Gulf waters around midweek where conditions will be favorable for tropical development. Winds will stay out of the south through the week, keeping high temperatures hot and above average in the mid-90s. High pressure east of Florida should keep it west of the state.

After that, nearly all models have come into agreement the system will move west toward the Texas or Louisiana coast, according to CBS4 Chief Meteorologist Craig Setzer.

Forecasters began tracking the possibility of a tropical formation late last week, saying it was only a 20 percent chance a system would develop. Then, the system drifts westward with Southern Louisiana in its sights.

Most likely, this system will be well inland in six to seven days and weather improves along the coast.

The American model, which just underwent a massive upgrade, takes a somewhat different tack.

Later in the week, it could also bring heavy rains to the the still-recovering Florida Panhandle, which was battered by Category 5 Hurricane Michael last fall. Now this system is located over south-central Georgia, meaning it is over land and has no chance of developing yet! At this time, models are in disagreement on strength and forecast path.

When will we know more? It is forecast to push southward into the Gulf of Mexico.

So, if you're a Gulf coast resident, what should you do? Check in with us as we'll be following this system through the week. But, it is much more common to see development from tropical waves moving across the Atlantic Ocean.

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