Chill Out - Maine Could Have A Milder-Than-Average Winter
Chill Out - Maine Could Have A Milder-Than-Average Winter
NOAA releases 2018-19 Winter Outlook
20 October, 2018, 22:36
But there isn't anywhere in the country who are definitely due for a colder-than-normal winter.
The outlook does not include seasonal snowfall accumulations, but it is being predicted that New England, similar to last year's forecast, has an equal chance of seeing above, near, or below normal precipitation.
During that time, an Arctic cold front will move across the US and produce bitter winds and a drop in the temperature over much of the U.S.
The likelihood of El Nino, meteorologists say, 70-75%.
El Nino is an ocean-atmosphere climate interaction that is linked to periodic warming in sea surface temperatures in the central and eastern equatorial Pacific. Since the Southeast is the only region not projected to have above-normal temperatures, a few winter storms could bring snow to the Deep South this season.
Other climate patterns that can affect winter weather are challenging to predict on a seasonal time scale.
The only part of the country that can expect typical winter temperatures will likely be in the Southeast, spanning the states you see below that are colored white, from Florida to OH and as far west as Arkansas.
- No part of the U.S.is favored to have below-average temperatures. The southern states of the US, as well as those in the Mid-Atlantic, are expected to receive above-normal precipitation. The northern half stays drier while the southern half gets extra precipitation. "The maps show only the most likely category with higher probability indicating greater confidence".
Drought conditions are anticipated to improve in areas throughout Arizona and New Mexico, southern sections of Utah and Colorado, the coastal Pacific Northwest and the Central Plains.
Farmer's Almanac Editor Peter Geiger said in late August his publication predicts "a very long, cold and snow-filled winter". Even during a warmer-than-average winter, periods of cold temperatures and snowfall are still likely to occur.
The Climate Prediction Center's outlook seems to at least indirectly contradict the one released by the 2019 Farmers' Almanac, an annual Lewiston-based publication which uses a mathematical and astronomical formula created in 1818 to come up with long-range forecasts. NOAA'S next update will be available on November 15th.
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