Tuesday, 16 October, 2018


Oil edges lower as supply concerns return

The USA through May 2018. The upward surge has stalled for the last two months. U.S. production was down 30,000 bpd in May The USA through May 2018. The upward surge has stalled for the last two months. U.S. production was down 30,000 bpd in May
Conrad Doyle | 06 August, 2018, 00:58

USA crude stocks rose last week as imports jumped, while gasoline stocks decreased and distillate inventories rose, the Energy Information Administration said on Wednesday.

United States crude oil supplies increased by around 3.8 million barrels last week.

"There's an expectation that the build from this week will be gone next week", said Phil Flynn, an analyst at Price Futures Group in Chicago.

Smith noted while it's highly unlikely India will absorb China's share of USA crude, "we could see other East Asian destinations, such as Taiwan and South Korea, also picking up some of the slack".

The price for Brent crude oil, the global benchmark for the price of oil, was down 1.75 per cent as of 9:20 a.m. EDT to $72.91 per barrel.

Low stocks were still providing a floor as overall USA crude inventories are below the 5-year average of around 420 million barrels.

Before the Genscape report sparked a rally, futures fell early on concerns about oversupply.

Saudi Arabia, Russia, Kuwait and the United Arab Emirates (UAE) have increased production to help compensate for an anticipated shortfall in Iranian crude supplies when planned U.S. sanctions take effect later this year.

At a June 22 meeting, OPEC agreed to boost output by returning to 100 percent compliance with oil output cuts that took effect in January 2017, after months of underproduction by countries including Venezuela and Angola.

"The increase in production is aimed at maintaining stability of the (global) oil market within the framework of joint actions of OPEC and non-OPEC countries", Novak said.

"Chinese demand from the independent refiners is also lower while the escalating trade war also doesn't help sentiment".

The speculator group cut its combined futures and options position in NY and London by 5,287 contracts to 407,001 during the week ending July 31, the U.S. Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) said on Friday.

"There are a lot of escalation points that could occur very quickly and that worries me", Jonathan Barratt, chief investment officer at Ayers Alliance in Sydney, said.

U.S. President Donald Trump has sought to ratchet up pressure on China for trade concessions by proposing a higher 25 percent tariff on $200 billion worth of Chinese imports. China has said it will retaliate.

USA crude oil exports averaged 1.31 million barrels per day last week, down by 1.37 million barrels per day from the previous week.

Analysts said offloading of positions by participants owing to slackened demand in the physical market against adequate stocks position kept crude palm oil prices lower in futures trade.

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