Friday, 15 February, 2019


Two Vulnerable Senate Incumbents at Center of Tuesday Primaries

Rep. Mark Sanford R-S.C. addresses the crowd during a town hall meeting Rep. Mark Sanford R-S.C. addresses the crowd during a town hall meeting
Bennie Garza | 13 June, 2018, 01:20

Splitting the difference from the two most recent elections, we are probably looking at around 517,000 total voters ("Republicans" and Democrats) hitting the polls this cycle ... which would fall well short of the 623,418 who showed up in 2010, the last time there was a partisan primary election for governor.

This office is now held by Donald McEachin.

Polling is also close in matchups for two other top statewide offices: attorney general and secretary of state.

Unlike the General Election in November, where the victor represents their district in the Virginia General Assembly or U.S. Congress, the victor of Tuesday's primary election only becomes their party's representative in the upcoming general election.

Both parties have contested congressional primaries throughout the rest of the state, but Comstock's district is the only one rated toss-up by independent analysts. Republicans went on to sweep most major offices in general election contests that year.

A recent court decision in one state-Pennsylvania-threw out those old gerrymandered district boundaries and forced new, more Democrat- friendly boundaries onto the state's 19 seats in the House of Representatives, which in turn helped put eight seats now held by Republicans-and only one seat now held by a Democrat-into the "competitive race" category.

"With Trump, it will be so much more hard for Comstock this time", he said. Clinton, despite being the Democratic standard bearer less than two years ago, has largely sat out the 2018 midterms.

The Real Clear Politics Average of Polls now shows the Democrats with a 7.6 point generic ballot advantage, barely above the five point generic ballot advantage most political analysts say Democrats need to break even, due to Republican success in state legislatures gerrymandering Congressional Districts after the 2010 census. "I'm my own person, so I work the way I work", she said.

Republican strategists acknowledge voter enthusiasm appears high among Democrats, but they attribute that more to there being a stronger field of blue candidates than in past years. He is running unopposed in the Democratic primary.

Of the 435 seats in the lower chamber of Congress, 336 are not competitive-180 held by Democrats, 156 held by Republicans, according to the Cook Political Report's ratings. "I have known Chris for many years, and I have seen how she has been an extraordinary progressive leader for Nevada". Nevada State Democratic Party officials, for example, say their campaign ramped up earlier than even the 2016 presidential election, registering three times more voters with five times more volunteers than then. "We want to make sure that never happens again".

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