Monday, 26 August, 2019


Four 'Major' Hurricanes Predicted to Hit United States in 2018

Four 'Major' Hurricanes Predicted to Hit United States in 2018 Four 'Major' Hurricanes Predicted to Hit United States in 2018
Kristine Garrett | 28 May, 2018, 12:15

The 2018 hurricane season in the Atlantic, which officially kicks off June 1, is expected to be of average to above-average in intensity, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Organization's annual hurricane forecast released Thursday. Of those named storms, five to nine could achieve hurricane strength, with winds of at least 74 miles per hour (119 km/h) or higher, and one to four storms could develop into major hurricanes (category 3, 4 or 5, with winds reaching at least 111 miles per hour, or 179 km/h), according to NOAA.

The Northern Hemisphere could see up to four major hurricanes during the 2018 season, experts are predicting. If the forecast proves accurate, the season will produce fewer storms than last year's catastrophic run of storms, when 10 hurricanes formed, including two Category 5 monsters, one of which struck Florida.

"The outlooks suggests that we will experience a near or above normal hurricane season this year", says NOAA Deputy Administrator Dr. Neil Jacobs. During that time, NOAA estimates, there will be 10 to 16 named storms.

"We're expecting a near-average season, which means a lot of storms forming in the Atlantic, which again means this is the time to start getting prepared for the hurricane season". In an average season, there are about 11 storms.

Four 'Major' Hurricanes Predicted to Hit United States in 2018

If the storm gains sustained winds of 39 miles per hour or more, it would be named Alberto, from the list of 2018 Atlantic tropical cyclone names. And while Xie and his team can not forecast where a hurricane will strike, he says their seasonal forecasts should be used to plan ahead He says the preseason forecast is a warm-up for people to pay attention to the actual forecasts from the National Hurricane Center. That's especially true if a storm hits communities in Puerto Rico or along the Gulf Coast that are still struggling to recover from the devastation caused by Maria and Harvey previous year.

Last year's hurricane season was one of the most active on record.

The following visualization shows the estimates as bars from low to high predictions, mapped against dots representing the actual number of storms. And even if they do arrive as predicted, it's impossible to say for sure how many storms such conditions will produce. A storm only gets a name when the sustained wind speeds reach 39 miles per hour, a NOAA spokesperson told Newsweek. And as if on cue, there is a system already brewing in the southern Gulf of Mexico, which could develop into the season's first named storm.

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